Trending market · updated Nov 13, 7:51 PM ET
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Leading on Polymarket: November 13, >99%. $726K traded in the last 24 hours, and it's set to close around December 31, 2026.
| Outcome | Polymarket | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| November 13 | >99% | +2 pts |
| November 15 | 98% | +3 pts |
| November 18 | 95% | +2 pts |
| November 20 | 93% | +5 pts |
| November 22 | 90% | +4 pts |
| November 30 | 85% | +6 pts |
| December 15 | 75% | +4 pts |
| December 31 | 68% | +3 pts |
Day by day
| Date | Odds that day |
|---|---|
| 2026-11-14 | November 13 >99% · November 15 98% · November 18 95% · November 20 93% |
| 2026-11-13 | November 13 >99% · November 15 97% · November 18 95% · November 20 93% |
| 2026-11-12 | November 11 >99% · November 13 98% · November 15 93% · November 18 91% |
| 2026-11-11 | November 11 >99% · November 13 99% · November 15 97% · November 18 96% |
| 2026-11-10 | November 11 >99% · November 13 98% · November 15 97% · November 18 96% |
| 2026-11-09 | November 6 >99% · November 7 >99% · November 11 98% · November 13 97% |
| 2026-11-08 | November 6 >99% · November 7 >99% · November 15 91% · November 22 80% |
| 2026-11-07 | November 6 >99% · November 5 >99% · November 7 >99% · November 15 88% |
| 2026-11-06 | November 4 >99% · November 5 >99% · November 6 >99% · November 7 97% |
| 2026-11-05 | November 5 >99% · November 3 >99% · November 4 >99% · November 6 97% |
| 2026-11-04 | November 4 >99% · November 2 >99% · November 3 >99% · November 5 98% |
| 2026-11-03 | November 1 >99% · November 3 99% · November 2 99% · November 4 94% |
| 2026-11-02 | November 1 >99% · November 2 >99% · November 3 95% · November 4 94% |
| 2026-11-01 | October 30 >99% · November 1 >99% · November 2 98% · November 3 97% |
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Odds are each market's last price shown as a chance (Kalshi: its current asking price), and they change all the time. Not a prediction and not financial advice. Sources: Polymarket. All trending markets